Macro
Buffer ETFs' assets soar to $36.9 billion, offering market downturn protection with capped gains at a cost.
By Max Weldon
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Investors seeking protection against market downturns are increasingly turning to buffer exchange-traded funds (ETFs), also known as defined-outcome ETFs. These funds, which utilize option contracts to mitigate losses, have seen their assets grow from approximately $183 million at the end of December 2018 to $36.9 billion by April 2024, according to Morningstar. Lan Anh Tran, a manager research analyst at Morningstar, highlighted the trade-off inherent in these products: protection against downside comes at the expense of capping the upside potential. This growing interest is particularly pronounced among investors nearing or in retirement, aiming to preserve capital against market volatility.
Buffer ETFs employ a sophisticated strategy involving three layers of options to provide a defined buffer against losses while capping gains beyond a certain point. For example, a fund might protect against the first 10% of an index’s loss but limit returns past a 15% gain. Innovator Capital Management was among the pioneers in this space, launching its first defined-outcome ETF in 2018. Competitors such as PGIM, Allianz, and BlackRock have since entered the market, with Calamos introducing a new line of ETFs offering 100% downside protection and a 9.81% upside cap rate. These ETFs appeal to investors looking for tax efficiency and protection against market downturns without sacrificing potential growth.
Before investing in buffer ETFs, individuals must assess their desired level of downside protection, which directly impacts the upside cap. Timing is crucial, as the full benefit of these ETFs is realized if held from the start to the end of the options' expiration period, typically one year. However, products like the JPMorgan Hedged Equity Laddered Overlay ETF offer more flexibility without specific loss thresholds or upside caps. Potential investors should also weigh the opportunity cost of missing out on higher market gains and consider the higher fees associated with buffer ETFs, which average around 0.75% to 0.80%.
Lan Anh Tran, Morningstar (Neutral on buffer ETFs):
"That downside protection … is coming at the cost of giving up some of the upside of the index. That’s the kind of trade off and promise that these products offer."
Todd Sohn, Strategas Securities (Bullish on buffer ETFs for certain investors):
"Most of those investors lived through the tech bubble and financial crisis and they think they cannot risk the possibility, however slim, of another meltdown." "It is just a packaged solution of a really complex investment strategy that is really efficient for a lot of people out there... I think it will get bigger and bigger as time goes on."
"This is a tax efficiency play... Whereas here, you can leave your money in and allow it to grow. If you want to take income off of that, you can pay yourself off of that capital appreciation."
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