Macro
Tech and AI firms like Nvidia show resilience to inflation with strong margins and growth, despite broader market downturns.
By Bill Bullington
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As the second quarter unfolds, investors are grappling with the specter of persistent inflation and the prospect of enduring high interest rates. The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq have all experienced declines early in the month, with the S&P 500 down 1.5%, the Dow nearly 3%, and the Nasdaq shedding 1.1%. This downturn is partly attributed to rising commodity prices, including gold and crude oil, which have reached new highs, exacerbating inflation fears. The upcoming consumer price index (CPI) release is highly anticipated for insights into inflation trends, with economists predicting a 0.3% increase in March on a month-over-month basis. This data will be crucial for gauging the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory.
In response to these inflationary pressures, CNBC Pro's Stock Screener has identified companies with the financial fortitude to navigate a potential inflation resurgence. These firms boast high gross margins, significant earnings growth over the past three years, and low debt-to-equity ratios, positioning them as resilient contenders in a challenging economic landscape. Notable mentions include ServiceNow, with a projected three-year earnings growth of 143.2% and a low debt-to-equity ratio, and Arista Networks, which has seen its shares jump more than 23% this year, thanks to zero debt and a gross margin of nearly 62%.
Despite the broader market's struggles with inflation, certain tech companies, particularly those involved in artificial intelligence (AI), have demonstrated remarkable growth and resilience. Nvidia, for instance, despite a 6.2% pullback this quarter, remains a standout with a gross profit margin of 72.7% and significant earnings growth. This resilience underscores the potential for well-positioned tech firms to not only withstand inflationary pressures but also capitalize on the transformative opportunities presented by advancements in AI and other technologies.
"Looking forward, our checks pointed to better-than-expected 2Q deal pipelines. Large enterprises who had historically been averse to 3rd party solutions and relied on home-grown ITSM/ITOM platforms, are beginning to make the shift to ServiceNow’s product set given the reliability, sustainability, and breadth of solutions found within the platform."
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